A model for deceased-donor transplant queue waiting times

dc.contributor.authorDrekic, Steve
dc.contributor.authorStanford, David A.
dc.contributor.authorWoolford, Douglas G.
dc.contributor.authorMcAlister, Vivian C.
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-14T13:29:30Z
dc.date.available2017-06-14T13:29:30Z
dc.date.issued2015-01-01
dc.descriptionThe final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11134-014-9417-7en
dc.description.abstractIn many jurisdictions, organ allocation is done on the basis of the health status of the patient, either explicitly or implicitly. This paper presents a self-promoting priority queueing model for patient waiting times which takes into account changes in health status over time. In this model, most patients arrive as “regular” customers to the queue, but as the health of a patient degrades, their status is promoted to “priority” to reflect the increased urgency of the transplant. We model the queueing system as a level-dependent quasi-birth-and-death process, and the steady-state joint queue length distribution as well as the marginal delay distributions for each queue are computed via the use of matrix analytic techniques. The model is calibrated using liver transplantation wait-list data, provided by a regional health centre in Canada, which tracked approximately 1,100 patients over nearly 13 years. Blood-type-specific models are fit and performance measures, such as the mean and distribution of the time until transplant, are obtained and compared to empirical estimates calculated using the raw data.en
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research was supported by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada through its Discovery Grants program.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11134-014-9417-7
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10012/12003
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherSpringeren
dc.subjectAbandonmentsen
dc.subjectCompeting risksen
dc.subjectEstimationen
dc.subjectLiver transplantationen
dc.subjectPhase-type distributionen
dc.subjectQuasi-birth-and-death processen
dc.subjectRenegingen
dc.subjectQueuing theoryen
dc.subjectQueues and servicesen
dc.titleA model for deceased-donor transplant queue waiting timesen
dc.typeArticleen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationS. Drekic, D.A. Stanford, D.G. Woolford and V.C. McAlister. A model for deceased-donor transplant queue waiting times. Queueing Systems 79 (2015) 87-115.en
uws.contributor.affiliation1Faculty of Mathematicsen
uws.contributor.affiliation2Statistics and Actuarial Scienceen
uws.peerReviewStatusRevieweden
uws.scholarLevelFacultyen
uws.typeOfResourceTexten

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