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dc.contributor.authorJames, Greta 19:47:25 (GMT) 19:47:25 (GMT)
dc.description.abstractProbability matching is the tendency to predict outcomes in accordance with their actual contingencies in a binary choice task. It is, however, a suboptimal response if the aim is to maximize correct predictions. I review two theories that attempt to explain why probability matching occurs: the pattern-search hypothesis and dual-systems theory. These theories are tested in two studies which suggest that dual-systems theory provides a better account of probability matching behavior. Studies 3, 4, and 5 then provide evidence for an extension of the dual-systems theory, called expectation matching, which is intended to explain why probability matching is the intuitive response to a binary choice problem.en
dc.publisherUniversity of Waterlooen
dc.subjectProbability Matchingen
dc.subjectBinary Choice Tasken
dc.titleBetting on the Unexpected: The Effect of Expectation Matching on Choice Strategies in a Binary Choice Tasken
dc.typeMaster Thesisen
dc.comment.hiddenWritten permission has been included for two of the publishers. The third does not require written submission.en
uws-etd.degreeMaster of Artsen

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