Betting on the Unexpected: The Effect of Expectation Matching on Choice Strategies in a Binary Choice Task
| dc.comment.hidden | Written permission has been included for two of the publishers. The third does not require written submission. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | James, Greta | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2012-02-17T19:47:25Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2012-02-17T19:47:25Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2012-02-17T19:47:25Z | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2012 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Probability matching is the tendency to predict outcomes in accordance with their actual contingencies in a binary choice task. It is, however, a suboptimal response if the aim is to maximize correct predictions. I review two theories that attempt to explain why probability matching occurs: the pattern-search hypothesis and dual-systems theory. These theories are tested in two studies which suggest that dual-systems theory provides a better account of probability matching behavior. Studies 3, 4, and 5 then provide evidence for an extension of the dual-systems theory, called expectation matching, which is intended to explain why probability matching is the intuitive response to a binary choice problem. | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10012/6558 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | en |
| dc.pending | false | en |
| dc.publisher | University of Waterloo | en |
| dc.subject | Probability Matching | en |
| dc.subject | Binary Choice Task | en |
| dc.subject.program | Psychology | en |
| dc.title | Betting on the Unexpected: The Effect of Expectation Matching on Choice Strategies in a Binary Choice Task | en |
| dc.type | Master Thesis | en |
| uws-etd.degree | Master of Arts | en |
| uws-etd.degree.department | Psychology | en |
| uws.peerReviewStatus | Unreviewed | en |
| uws.scholarLevel | Graduate | en |
| uws.typeOfResource | Text | en |