Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorOraby, Tamer
dc.contributor.authorThampi, Vivek
dc.contributor.authorBauch, Chris T.
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-21 12:30:10 (GMT)
dc.date.available2018-09-21 12:30:10 (GMT)
dc.date.issued2014-04-07
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.3172
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10012/13874
dc.descriptionDefinitive version as published available at: Oraby, T., Thampi, V., & Bauch, C. T. (2014). The influence of social norms on the dynamics of vaccinating behaviour for paediatric infectious diseases. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 281(1780), 20133172–20133172., http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.3172en
dc.description.abstractMathematical models that couple disease dynamics and vaccinating behaviour often assume that the incentive to vaccinate disappears if disease prevalence is zero. Hence, they predict that vaccine refusal should be the rule, and elimination should be difficult or impossible. In reality, countries with non-mandatory vaccination policies have usually been able to maintain elimination or very low incidence of paediatric infectious diseases for long periods of time. Here, we show that including injunctive social norms can reconcile such behaviour-incidence models to observations. Adding social norms to a coupled behaviour-incidence model enables the model to better explain pertussis vaccine uptake and disease dynamics in the UK from 1967 to 2010, in both the vaccine-scare years and the years of high vaccine coverage. The model also illustrates how a vaccine scare can perpetuate suboptimal vaccine coverage long after perceived risk has returned to baseline, pre-vaccine-scare levels. However, at other model parameter values, social norms can perpetuate depressed vaccine coverage during a vaccine scare well beyond the time when the population's baseline vaccine risk perception returns to pre-scare levels. Social norms can strongly suppress vaccine uptake despite frequent outbreaks, as observed in some small communities. Significant portions of the parameter space also exhibit bistability, meaning long-term outcomes depend on the initial conditions. Depending on the context, social norms can either support or hinder immunization goals.en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherRoyal Society, Theen
dc.subjectpaediatric immunizationen
dc.subjectdecision-makingen
dc.subjectbehaviour-incidence modelen
dc.subjectsocial normsen
dc.subjectpeer pressureen
dc.titleThe Influence Of Social Norms On The Dynamics Of Vaccinating Behaviour For Paediatric Infectious Diseasesen
dc.typeArticleen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationOraby, T., Thampi, V., & Bauch, C. T. (2014). The influence of social norms on the dynamics of vaccinating behaviour for paediatric infectious diseases. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 281(1780), 20133172–20133172. doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.3172en
uws.contributor.affiliation1Faculty of Mathematicsen
uws.contributor.affiliation2Applied Mathematicsen
uws.typeOfResourceTexten
uws.typeOfResourceTexten
uws.peerReviewStatusRevieweden
uws.scholarLevelFacultyen


Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record


UWSpace

University of Waterloo Library
200 University Avenue West
Waterloo, Ontario, Canada N2L 3G1
519 888 4883

All items in UWSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

DSpace software

Service outages