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I Don't Care Whose Fault It Is! Or, An Introduction to the Short-Term Forecasting Theory, Implementing Fuzzy-logic and Neural Networks

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dc.contributor.authorBernstein, Jordan
dc.date.accessioned2016-09-08T19:50:59Z
dc.date.available2016-09-08T19:50:59Z
dc.date.issued2006
dc.descriptionThe Independent Studies program closed in 2016. This thesis was one of 25 accepted by Library for long-term preservation and presentation in UWSpace.en
dc.description.abstractIn contradiction with much conventional economic theory, this thesis argues that successful short-term forecasting is both possible and practicable. Beginning with the assumption, and widely-held belief, that there are patterns to be discovered in the stock market, the thesis develops the Short-Term Forecasting Theory (STFT) to demonstrate how useful and accurate short-term forecasts might be achieved. In short, this thesis posits that, if short-term financial forecasting of an equity can be broken down to a mechanical procedure, the problem of short-term forecasting is reduced to the question of finding the proper tools for this procedure. This thesis presents two computing methods – fuzzy logic and neural networks – that, when combined, could serve as an appropriate tool for implementation.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10012/10828
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherUniversity of Waterlooen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesIS 310, Thesis Phase Ien
dc.relation.ispartofseriesIS 320, Thesis Phase IIen
dc.subjectfuzzy-logicen
dc.subjectneural networksen
dc.subjectforecasting theoryen
dc.subjecteconomic theoryen
dc.subjectequityen
dc.subjectshort-term forecasting theoryen
dc.titleI Don't Care Whose Fault It Is! Or, An Introduction to the Short-Term Forecasting Theory, Implementing Fuzzy-logic and Neural Networksen
dc.typeBachelor Thesisen
uws-etd.degreeBachelor of Independent Studiesen
uws-etd.degree.departmentIndependent Studiesen
uws-etd.degree.disciplineIndependent Studiesen
uws.contributor.advisorVetzal, Ken
uws.contributor.advisorPerez, Alonzo
uws.contributor.affiliation1Faculty of Artsen
uws.peerReviewStatusUnrevieweden
uws.published.cityWaterlooen
uws.published.countryCanadaen
uws.published.provinceOntarioen
uws.scholarLevelUndergraduateen
uws.typeOfResourceTexten

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