Browsing Waterloo Research by Author "Abolghasemi, Yaser"
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Determining the causality between U.S. presidential prediction markets and global financial markets
Abolghasemi, Yaser; Dimitrov, Stanko (Wiley, 2020-08-14)Prediction markets trade securities with final prices contingent on the outcome of future events, for example, who will win the next political election. We show how the outcome of a United States presidential election, ...