Radosavljevic, JovanaSlowinski, StephanieShafii, MahyarRezanezhad, FereidounAkbarzadeh, ZahraWithers, WilliamVan Cappellen, Philippe2023-04-132023-04-132022-11-10https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157336https://doi.org/10.46427/gold2022.11504http://hdl.handle.net/10012/19274We thank the City of Richmond Hill for providing the data. Nina Sattolo helped with the PCA analysis; other undergraduate student assistants in the Ecohydrology Research Group helped with assembling the data set. We thank Bhaleka Persaud for help with publishing and managing data. The constructive comments of two journal reviewers improved the clarity of our manuscript.Salinization of inland freshwaters is observed around the world, but particularly in cold temperate regions due to the runoff of salt applied on roads as de-icing agents during the winter. This is the case for Lake Wilcox, a shallow kettle lake located within the greater Toronto metropolitan area in Ontario, Canada. Since the early 1900s, the lake’s watershed has experienced major land use change, including urban growth. Expanding urban imperviousness has been accompanied by noticeable water quality deterioration, including water column dissolved oxygen (DO) depletion and increases in seasonal chlorophyll concentrations and algal blooms. We analyzed 23 years (1996–2018) of water chemistry, land use, and climate data using principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple linear regression (MLR). Dimensionality reduction of the entire water quality dataset yielded four principal components (PCs) that could explain 76% of the data variability of the concentrations of DO, and phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) species. The MLR results revealed that the intensity of stratification, quantified by the Brunt-Väisälä frequency, as well as watershed imperviousness and lake chloride concentrations were the most important predictors of the water quality changes represented by the four PCs. We conclude that the observed in-lake water quality trends over the past two decades are linked to urbanization via increased salinization associated with expanding impervious land cover, rather than increasing external P loading to the lake. The rising salinity strengthens water column stratification, hence, reducing the oxygenation of the hypolimnion that, in turn enhances the recycling of P from the bottom sediments to the water column (i.e., internal P loading). Thus, stricter controls on the application and runoff of de-icing salts should be considered as part of managing lake eutrophication in cold climate regions.enAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalsalinizationurban lakesinternal loadingphosphorusConference Poster