Now showing items 1-10 of 42
Convergence of socio-ecological dynamics in disparate ecological systems under strong coupling to human social systems
It is widely recognized that coupled socio-ecological dynamics can be qualitatively different from the dynamics of social or ecological systems in isolation from one another. The influence of the type of ecological dynamics ...
The influence of social behaviour on competition between virulent pathogen strains
Infectious disease interventions like contact precautions and vaccination have proven effective in disease control and elimination. The priority given to interventions can depend strongly on how virulent the pathogen is, ...
Spatial correlation as an early warning signal of regime shifts in a multiplex disease-behaviour network
Early warning signals of sudden regime shifts are a widely studied phenomenon for their ability to quantify a system’s proximity to a tipping point to a new and contrasting dynamical regime. However, this effect has been ...
Parameterizing a dynamic inﬂuenza model using longitudinal versus age-stratiﬁed case notiﬁcations yields diﬀerent predictions of vaccine impacts
Dynamic transmission models of inﬂuenza are often used in decision-making to identify which vaccination strategies might best reduce inﬂuenza-associated health and economic burdens. Our goal was to use laboratory conﬁrmed ...
Spatially-Implicit Modelling Of Disease-Behaviour Interactions In The Context Of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions
(American Institute of Mathematical Sciences, 2018-04-01)
Pair approximation models have been used to study the spread of infectious diseases in spatially distributed host populations, and to explore disease control strategies such as vaccination and case isolation. Here we ...
An Antibiotic Protocol To Minimize Emergence Of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis
A within-host model of the spread of tuberculosis is proposed here where the emergence of drug resistance and bacterial dormancy are simultaneously combined. We consider both sensitive and resistant strains of tuberculosis ...
Competition Between Injunctive Social Norms And Conservation Priorities Gives Rise To Complex Dynamics In A Model Of Forest Growth And Opinion Dynamics
Human and environmental systems are often treated as existing in isolation from one another, whereas in fact they are often two parts of a single, coupled human-environment system. Developing theoretical models of coupled ...
Assessing The Pandemic Potential Of Mers-Cov
No Abstract Available
Revising Ecological Assumptions About Human Papillomavirus Interactions And Type Replacement
The controversy over whether vaccine-targeted HPV types will be replaced by other oncogenic, non-vaccine-targeted types remains unresolved. This is in part because little is known about the ecology of HPV types. Patient ...
Dynamics And Control Of Foot-And-Mouth Disease In Endemic Countries: A Pair Approximation Model
Previous mathematical models of spatial farm-to-farm transmission of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have explored the impacts of control measures such as culling and vaccination during a single outbreak in a country normally ...