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Convergence of socio-ecological dynamics in disparate ecological systems under strong coupling to human social systems
(2018-04-06)
It is widely recognized that coupled socio-ecological dynamics can be qualitatively different from the dynamics of social or ecological systems in isolation from one another. The influence of the type of ecological dynamics ...
Coupled Human-Environment Dynamics Of Forest Pest Spread And Control In A Multi-Patch, Stochastic Setting
(Public Library of Science, 2015-10-02)
Background The transportation of camp firewood infested by non-native forest pests such as Asian long-horned beetle (ALB) and emerald ash borer (EAB) has severe impacts on North American forests. Once invasive forest pests ...
Disease Dynamics And Costly Punishment Can Foster Socially Imposed Monogamy
(Nature Publishing Group, 2016-04-01)
Socially imposed monogamy in humans is an evolutionary puzzle because it requires costly punishment by those who impose the norm. Moreover, most societies were-and are-polygynous; yet many larger human societies transitioned ...
Sexual Behavior, Risk Perception, And Hiv Transmission Can Respond To Hiv Antiviral Drugs And Vaccines Through Multiple Pathways
(Nature Publishing Group, 2015-10-28)
There has been growing use of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) for HIV and significant progress in developing prophylactic HIV vaccines. The simplest theories of counterproductive behavioral responses to such ...
The influence of social behaviour on competition between virulent pathogen strains
(Elsevier, 2018-10-14)
Infectious disease interventions like contact precautions and vaccination have proven effective in disease control and elimination. The priority given to interventions can depend strongly on how virulent the pathogen is, ...
Parameterizing a dynamic influenza model using longitudinal versus age-stratified case notifications yields different predictions of vaccine impacts
(2018-09-06)
Dynamic transmission models of influenza are often used in decision-making to identify which vaccination strategies might best reduce influenza-associated health and economic burdens. Our goal was to use laboratory confirmed ...
Revising Ecological Assumptions About Human Papillomavirus Interactions And Type Replacement
(Elsevier, 2014-06-07)
The controversy over whether vaccine-targeted HPV types will be replaced by other oncogenic, non-vaccine-targeted types remains unresolved. This is in part because little is known about the ecology of HPV types. Patient ...
Spatially-Implicit Modelling Of Disease-Behaviour Interactions In The Context Of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions
(American Institute of Mathematical Sciences, 2018-04-01)
Pair approximation models have been used to study the spread of infectious diseases in spatially distributed host populations, and to explore disease control strategies such as vaccination and case isolation. Here we ...
An Antibiotic Protocol To Minimize Emergence Of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis
(Elsevier, 2014-04-15)
A within-host model of the spread of tuberculosis is proposed here where the emergence of drug resistance and bacterial dormancy are simultaneously combined. We consider both sensitive and resistant strains of tuberculosis ...
Coevolution Of Risk Perception, Sexual Behaviour, And Hiv Transmission In An Agent-Based Model
(Elsevier, 2013-11-21)
Risk perception shapes individual behaviour, and is in turn shaped by the consequences of that behaviour. Here we explore this dynamics in the context of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) spread. We construct a simplified ...