Now showing items 1-10 of 42
Parameterizing a dynamic inﬂuenza model using longitudinal versus age-stratiﬁed case notiﬁcations yields diﬀerent predictions of vaccine impacts
Dynamic transmission models of inﬂuenza are often used in decision-making to identify which vaccination strategies might best reduce inﬂuenza-associated health and economic burdens. Our goal was to use laboratory conﬁrmed ...
Spatial correlation as an early warning signal of regime shifts in a multiplex disease-behaviour network
Early warning signals of sudden regime shifts are a widely studied phenomenon for their ability to quantify a system’s proximity to a tipping point to a new and contrasting dynamical regime. However, this effect has been ...
Convergence of socio-ecological dynamics in disparate ecological systems under strong coupling to human social systems
It is widely recognized that coupled socio-ecological dynamics can be qualitatively different from the dynamics of social or ecological systems in isolation from one another. The influence of the type of ecological dynamics ...
Revising Ecological Assumptions About Human Papillomavirus Interactions And Type Replacement
The controversy over whether vaccine-targeted HPV types will be replaced by other oncogenic, non-vaccine-targeted types remains unresolved. This is in part because little is known about the ecology of HPV types. Patient ...
Dynamics And Control Of Foot-And-Mouth Disease In Endemic Countries: A Pair Approximation Model
Previous mathematical models of spatial farm-to-farm transmission of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have explored the impacts of control measures such as culling and vaccination during a single outbreak in a country normally ...
An Antibiotic Protocol To Minimize Emergence Of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis
A within-host model of the spread of tuberculosis is proposed here where the emergence of drug resistance and bacterial dormancy are simultaneously combined. We consider both sensitive and resistant strains of tuberculosis ...
Coupling Fishery Dynamics, Human Health And Social Learning In A Model Of Fish-Borne Pollution Exposure
Pollution-induced illnesses are caused by toxicants that result from human activity and are often entirely preventable. However, where industrial priorities have undermined responsible governance, exposed populations must ...
Coevolution Of Risk Perception, Sexual Behaviour, And Hiv Transmission In An Agent-Based Model
Risk perception shapes individual behaviour, and is in turn shaped by the consequences of that behaviour. Here we explore this dynamics in the context of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) spread. We construct a simplified ...
Role Of Word-Of-Mouth For Programs Of Voluntary Vaccination: A Game-Theoretic Approach
We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. The key feature consists in combining a game-theoretic model for the spread of ...
Assessing The Pandemic Potential Of Mers-Cov
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